Rangers/Giants?

So, now that the league championships are settled, what are the opinions on Rangers/Giants?

I personally like Lee over Lincecum in Game 1. I like Hamilton, Murphy, and Moreland against Lincecum more than I like anybody against Lee. Lincecum should still pitch well against Texas, but seeing him give up 3 in 7 is not unlikely.

I like Cain over Wilson in game 2, but I may be higher on Cain than most. He should be susceptible to the Long ball in Arlington, but in San Fran I believe he can produce. Should be another good game.

Sanchez/Lewis in Game 3. Lewis is vulnerable to lefties, but outside of Huff, I think he can make a good matchup with the Giants lineup. If Sanchez can't strikeout this lineup, then I think Texas can get it done with Hamilton and Vlad and Cruz. Hamilton is not great against lefties, but he is protected by Vlad and Cruz, who can mash them.

Game 4, maybe nobody benefits from SF's lineup more than Tommy Hunter. He seems to struggle to get lefties out, and is vulnerable to the long ball from both sides. Keeping guys off base for the long balls give Texas a chance. Bumgardner has to figure out a way to get the righty heavy lineup of Texas to stay in the yard. Expect the difference in this game to be how many men are on base when the long balls fly.

I don't really want to call any game, but I like Texas, Giants, Texas, Texas. Not by much in any game though. Game 3 is tough to call, and Game 4 seems like a crapshoot.

Rangers/Yankee's chances

Looks like I made some mistakes in the rotations. Fixing that though, Rangers have a 3-1 lead. Do the Yankees really have a shot?

Game 5	Sabathia	Wilson	3/5
Day off
Game 6	Hughes	Lewis	1/2
Game 7	Pettite	Lee	1/5

So what am I taking into account? Well, first Tex is gone. Despite his 0-fer, I belive it is a slight downgrade in the Yankees offense. Swisher at first also produces a downgrade in their defense. Sabathia and Wilson with the Yankees at home makes me favor the Yankees slightly, but Wilson is underrated. Hughes/Lewis basically get the same odds as before. Lee versus Pettite played out as predicted. Pettite has to be perfect to beat him but will make a mistake or two, while Lee has a really good chance to only make one all night and a good chance to make none.

Yankees Win 4-3	3/50
Rangers Win 4-1	20/50
Rangers Win 4-2	15/50
Rangers Win 4-3	12/50

So there you go, I feel like the Yankees have a 6% chance to win this. Time to think about the NL.

Correct odds for Yankees/Rangers matchup?

Trying to put together an understanding of what to expect from the series. Here's the matchups I have with the odds I'm placing of a Yankees victory:

Game 1	Sabathia	Wilson	2/3
Game 2	Pettite	Lewis	1/2
Day off
Game 3	Hughes	Lee	1/10
Game 4	Sabathia	Hunter	4/5
Game 5	Burnett	Wilson	1/2
Day off
Game 6	Pettite	Lewis	1/2
Game 7	Sabathia	Lee	1/5

The end result for me is that this is much closer a series than any Yankee fan wants to admit, and that the rotations match up quite well. Home field advantage for the Rangers may even this up.

The chance of going 2-0 for the yYankees is 1/3, while the chance for the Rangers is 1/6. Putting the odds post Lee at

Yankees 3-0	2/60
Yankees 2-1	23/60
Rangers 2-1	26/60
Rangers 3-0	9/60

Look for the Rangers to have the lead after 3. Post game four though:

Yankees 4-0	8/300
Yankees 3-1	132/300
Tied 2-2	125/300
Rangers 3-1	26/300
Rangers 4-0	9/300

Yankees look in good shape. If the Rangers can win 2 out of the first three though, look out New York. Looking at 2-2 with an edge to the Rangers, and a 1/4 chance of winning it before Lee gets the hill again against a second three day rest for Sabathia.